Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 12:43
Charlotte

Charlotte

Home
WL
22
Full time
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

Away
D
Bank of America Stadium
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Charlotte(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Charlotte
44%
Draw
24%
Atlanta United FC
32%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Charlotte
54
Atlanta United FC
34
Defence
Charlotte
66
Atlanta United FC
66
Momentum
Charlotte
50
Atlanta United FC
33
Danger (xG)
Charlotte
1.35
Atlanta United FC
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Charlotte)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Atlanta United FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Charlotte)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atlanta United FC)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CharlotteCharlotte
WL
Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC
D

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Charlotte44%
Draw24%
Atlanta United FC32%

Charlotte leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Charlotte head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Bank of America Stadium in mixed form (WL), while Atlanta United FC arrive in mixed form (D). Charlotte have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Atlanta United FC over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Charlotte (66/100) and Atlanta United FC (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Charlotte have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Atlanta United FC have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Charlotte and Atlanta United FC in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Charlotte to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Charlotte 4387%, Draw 2420%, Atlanta United FC 3193%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Charlotte

Charlotte

W
vs Toronto FC
17 May 2026
31
L
vs New York City FC
14 May 2026
01
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

D
@ Orlando City SC
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Charlotte to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Charlotte vs Atlanta United FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more