Charlotte Independencevs
Westchester SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlotte Independence 5-4 Westchester SC
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.3% | 68.4% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.3% | 16.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.4% | 15.0% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00