GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/27/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte Independence are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Spokane Velocity are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlotte IndependenceDLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spokane VelocityWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Charlotte IndependenceSpokane Velocity
76.7Attack45.0
53.3Defence56.7
70.0Form53.3
67.0Power52.8
2.24xG1.11
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