USA · USL League One · 9/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlotte Independence 3-2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 63.8% | 74.9% | 11.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 19.9% | 14.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.3% | 11.1% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–09%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
74.9%
Model confidence
74.9%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00