Charlotte Independencevs
NY Cosmos
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlotte Independence 3-0 NY Cosmos
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.2% | 58.0% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.4% | 21.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.41 | 20.4% | 20.4% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–09%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00