GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Forward Madison · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte Independence are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Forward Madison are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 65.9 against 64.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Forward Madison

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlotte IndependenceDWWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Forward MadisonLLWLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceForward Madison
75.4Attack66.7
52.6Defence64.9
68.4Form63.2
65.9Power64.5
1.72xG1.73
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