Charlotte Independencevs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One Cup · 5/11/2024, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Charlotte Independence are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the USL League One Cup, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00