Charlotte Independencevs
Fort Wayne
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlotte Independence 1-1 Fort Wayne
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.0% | 46.4% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.8% | 26.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.2% | 27.4% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00