GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/6/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte Independence are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Boise are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlotte IndependenceDWLLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
BoiseWDWDD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceBoise
75.4Attack49.2
52.6Defence54.0
68.4Form54.0
65.9Power54.1
2.32xG1.24
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