GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Charlotte Independence are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

10.9%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlotte IndependenceLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AltaWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Charlotte IndependenceAlta
75.4Attack48.5
52.6Defence60.6
68.4Form48.5
65.9Power53.6
2.00xG1.21
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