Charlotte Independencevs
Alta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charlotte Independence 5-0 Alta
Original prediction
Charlotte Independence
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.1% | 60.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.42 | 20.3% | 20.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.14 | 17.5% | 19.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60