GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/27/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Weston Bears · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Weston Bears are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Weston Bears hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Weston Bears holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Weston Bears

Probability

79.1%

Model confidence

79.1%

Weston Bears has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Weston BearsWLWWD

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesWeston Bears
39.7Attack76.2
14.3Defence47.6
22.2Form63.5
28.4Power62.4
1.24xG4.06
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