GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/6/2025, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Valentine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Valentine hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Valentine holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Valentine

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Valentine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWLDDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesValentine
39.7Attack34.9
14.3Defence38.1
22.2Form39.7
28.4Power40.1
1.56xG1.75
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