GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/21/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlestown City Blues · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while New Lambton are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlestown City Blues hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Charlestown City Blues holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlestown City Blues

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Charlestown City Blues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New LambtonWLLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesNew Lambton
39.7Attack37.9
14.3Defence7.6
22.2Form18.2
28.4Power23.6
2.32xG1.80
View match centre →