GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/4/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Maitland are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

72.1%

Model confidence

72.1%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandWWWWL

GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesMaitland
39.7Attack60.3
14.3Defence50.8
22.2Form61.9
28.4Power60.0
1.17xG3.19
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