GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/11/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maitland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Maitland are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maitland hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.1% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Maitland holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maitland

Probability

72.1%

Model confidence

72.1%

Maitland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWDWDL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MaitlandDLLWL

GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesMaitland
39.7Attack60.3
14.3Defence50.8
22.2Form61.9
28.4Power60.0
1.17xG3.19
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