GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/21/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lambton Jaffas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lambton Jaffas hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Lambton Jaffas holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lambton Jaffas

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Lambton Jaffas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesLambton Jaffas
39.7Attack57.1
14.3Defence47.6
22.2Form34.9
28.4Power46.2
1.31xG2.88
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