GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 6/18/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlestown City Blues · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlestown City Blues hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Charlestown City Blues holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlestown City Blues

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Charlestown City Blues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Lake MacquarieWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 19 · avg 1.40/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesLake Macquarie
39.7Attack30.3
14.3Defence0.0
22.2Form6.1
28.4Power14.9
2.39xG1.40
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