GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 3/10/2024, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlestown City Blues · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlestown City Blues hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 14.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Charlestown City Blues holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlestown City Blues

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Charlestown City Blues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lake MacquarieLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesLake Macquarie
39.7Attack30.3
14.3Defence0.0
22.2Form6.1
28.4Power14.9
2.39xG1.40
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