GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/15/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Olympic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hamilton Olympic are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Olympic hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Hamilton Olympic holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Olympic

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Hamilton Olympic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hamilton OlympicWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesHamilton Olympic
39.7Attack61.9
14.3Defence39.7
22.2Form33.3
28.4Power44.3
1.52xG3.11
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