GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/14/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Edgeworth Eagles are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.7% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

75.7%

Model confidence

75.7%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Edgeworth EaglesWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Charlestown City BluesEdgeworth Eagles
39.7Attack63.5
14.3Defence54.0
22.2Form61.9
28.4Power62.1
1.09xG3.38
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