Northern NSW NPLNorthern NSW NPL
Sunday, 19 July 202606:00Updated today
Charlestown City Blues

Charlestown City Blues

Home
L
vs
06:00
Edgeworth Eagles

Edgeworth Eagles

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
51% confidence
Edgeworth Eagles(51%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Charlestown City Blues
24%
Draw
25%
Edgeworth Eagles
51%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Charlestown City Blues
34
Edgeworth Eagles
94
Defence
Charlestown City Blues
0
Edgeworth Eagles
27
Momentum
Charlestown City Blues
0
Edgeworth Eagles
100
Danger (xG)
Charlestown City Blues
0.90
Edgeworth Eagles
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.58 xG for Charlestown City Blues and 2.56 xG for Edgeworth Eagles — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Charlestown City Blues holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's strong attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Charlestown City Blues's Attack Score (34) exceeds Edgeworth Eagles's Defensive Stability (27), and Edgeworth Eagles's attack (94) similarly tests Charlestown City Blues's defence (0). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.14 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Charlestown City Blues's Attack Score (34) vs Edgeworth Eagles's Defensive Stability (27) and Edgeworth Eagles's attack (94) vs Charlestown City Blues's defence (0) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.

xG for (Charlestown City Blues)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Edgeworth Eagles)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Charlestown City Blues)
6.30
avg per match
xG against (Edgeworth Eagles)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Charlestown City BluesCharlestown City Blues
LDL
Edgeworth EaglesEdgeworth Eagles
W

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Charlestown City Blues24%
Draw25%
Edgeworth Eagles51%

Edgeworth Eagles leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Edgeworth Eagles Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-2

Charlestown City Blues host Edgeworth Eagles in Northern NSW NPL. Charlestown City Blues have recorded DLLLLL in recent matches while Edgeworth Eagles arrive with a run of LLWWWW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.7 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 2.56 expected goals for Edgeworth Eagles against 1.58 for Charlestown City Blues — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 📈 Recent Form Edgeworth Eagles arrive in better recent form — 4 wins from 10 matches (LLWWWW) against Charlestown City Blues's 0. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.
: 🔄 Head-to-Head Record Edgeworth Eagles have won 5 of the last 10 meetings between these sides — a historically dominant record that the model treats as a meaningful signal when the underlying stats are otherwise close.

Why GoalVio backs this

Edgeworth Eagles are generating a commanding xG advantage — 2.56 projected against 1.58 for Charlestown City Blues. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.98 is the clearest signal in the model that Edgeworth Eagles are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Edgeworth Eagles are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Charlestown City Blues

Charlestown City Blues

L
@ Hamilton Olympic
1 Jul 2026
17
D
vs Cooks Hill United
24 Jun 2026
22
L
@ Adamstown Rosebuds
16 May 2026
02
Edgeworth Eagles

Edgeworth Eagles

W
vs Lambton Jaffas
23 Jun 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles?

GoalVio's model predicts Edgeworth Eagles to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Charlestown City Blues vs Edgeworth Eagles?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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