GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/8/2025, 8:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWDLDW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Belmont SwanseaLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Charlestown City BluesBelmont Swansea
39.7Attack71.4
14.3Defence34.9
22.2Form55.6
28.4Power55.7
1.57xG3.73
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