GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/2/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 2.25/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Adamstown RosebudsLWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.25/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Charlestown City BluesAdamstown Rosebuds
39.7Attack49.2
14.3Defence31.7
22.2Form33.3
28.4Power40.1
1.73xG2.45
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