GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 5/26/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adamstown Rosebuds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Charlestown City Blues are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adamstown Rosebuds hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (28.4 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Adamstown Rosebuds holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adamstown Rosebuds

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Adamstown Rosebuds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlestown City BluesWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adamstown RosebudsLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 21 · avg 0.80/4.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlestown City BluesAdamstown Rosebuds
39.7Attack49.2
14.3Defence31.7
22.2Form33.3
28.4Power40.1
1.73xG2.45
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