GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/12/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charleston Battery are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.67 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleston Battery hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.1% in the USL Championship, while Charleston Battery holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleston Battery

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charleston BatteryWLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.67/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Phoenix RisingLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.67/3.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Charleston BatteryPhoenix Rising
66.7Attack42.1
57.9Defence54.4
57.9Form38.6
59.5Power46.4
2.04xG0.93
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