Charleston Batteryvs
Monterey Bay
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charleston Battery 1-0 Monterey Bay
Original prediction
Charleston Battery
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.8% | 75.6% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.63 | 19.6% | 14.9% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.24 | 14.6% | 9.6% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Charleston Battery
Probability
75.6%
Model confidence
75.6%
Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20