Charleston Batteryvs
Louisville City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleston Battery · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Charleston Battery 0-2 Louisville City
Original prediction
Charleston Battery
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.1% | 52.3% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.5% | 23.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.4% | 24.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Charleston Battery
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Charleston Battery has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00