Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Charleroi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while OH Leuven are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleroi hold a 75.5-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Jupiler Pro League, while Charleroi holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charleroi
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80