Chapeltonvs
Treasure Beach
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chapelton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chapelton 1-0 Treasure Beach
Original prediction
Chapelton
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 09:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.9% | 36.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.4% | 27.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.7% | 35.2% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Chapelton
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Chapelton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80