Chapecoense U20vs
Joinville U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Catarinense U20 · 7/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chapecoense U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Chapecoense U20 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Joinville U20 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chapecoense U20 hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Catarinense U20, while Chapecoense U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chapecoense U20
Probability
85.6%
Model confidence
11.5%
Chapecoense U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40