GGOALVIO

Brazil · Catarinense U20 · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Criciuma U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chapecoense U20 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Criciuma U20 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Criciuma U20 hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (59.8 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Catarinense U20, while Criciuma U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Criciuma U20

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

12.3%

Criciuma U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense U20DWWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Criciuma U20DDLLL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Chapecoense U20Criciuma U20
68.4Attack61.1
50.9Defence79.6
59.6Form72.2
59.8Power71.0
1.23xG1.73
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