GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vitoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vitoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Serie A, while Vitoria holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vitoria

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Vitoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scLLDDL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VitoriaLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chapecoense-scVitoria
34.8Attack33.3
30.3Defence50.0
16.7Form39.4
30.2Power42.6
1.07xG1.32
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