Chapecoense-scvs
Vitoria
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitoria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vitoria are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Vitoria hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Serie A, while Vitoria holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vitoria
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Vitoria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20