Chapecoense-scvs
Santos
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 1/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie A, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40