GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 1/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Santos are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Serie A, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santos

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scWDLDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
SantosWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Chapecoense-scSantos
31.7Attack46.0
31.7Defence44.4
15.9Form34.9
29.4Power43.9
1.08xG1.79
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