Chapecoense-scvsMarcílio Dias

Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LWL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chapecoense-sc hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Chapecoense-sc holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.