GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/23/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Londrina are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chapecoense-sc hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scLWLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.75/0.50

BTTS 0/4O2.5 0/4
LondrinaWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Chapecoense-scLondrina
33.3Attack42.9
62.3Defence49.2
35.1Form31.7
45.5Power41.8
1.10xG0.88
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