Serie ASerie A
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 12:35
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

Home
L
04
Full time
Flamengo

Flamengo

Away
W
Arena Condá
GoalVio prediction
72% confidence
Chapecoense-sc(8%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Chapecoense-sc
8%
Draw
19%
Flamengo
72%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Chapecoense-sc
9
Flamengo
99
Defence
Chapecoense-sc
27
Flamengo
27
Momentum
Chapecoense-sc
0
Flamengo
100
Danger (xG)
Chapecoense-sc
0.00
Flamengo
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Chapecoense-sc)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Flamengo)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Chapecoense-sc)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Flamengo)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc
L
FlamengoFlamengo
WL

Probability breakdown

72% confidence
Chapecoense-sc8%
Draw19%
Flamengo72%

Flamengo leads with 72% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Chapecoense-sc head into this in Serie A fixture at Arena Condá in mixed form (L), while Flamengo arrive in mixed form (W). Chapecoense-sc have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Flamengo over 1 games.

Tactically, Flamengo hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Chapecoense-sc defence (27/100), while Chapecoense-sc's attack faces a vulnerable Flamengo backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Chapecoense-sc have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Flamengo have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Chapecoense-sc and Flamengo in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Chapecoense-sc to win with 72% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Chapecoense-sc 821%, Draw 1943%, Flamengo 7236%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

L
@ Bahia
17 Jul 2026
02
Flamengo

Flamengo

W
vs Olimpia
18 Jul 2026
42
L
@ Vitoria
15 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?

GoalVio's model predicts Chapecoense-sc to win with 72% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chapecoense-sc vs Flamengo?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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