Chapecoense-scvs
Coritiba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 2/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coritiba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Coritiba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Coritiba hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Serie A, while Coritiba holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Coritiba
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
12.9%
Coritiba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80