GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corinthians

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scDLDDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansDLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Chapecoense-scCorinthians
34.8Attack36.4
30.3Defence69.7
16.7Form48.5
30.2Power53.2
0.63xG1.49
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