GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Santa Catarina · 9/6/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chapecoense-sc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Barra are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chapecoense-sc hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the Copa Santa Catarina, while Chapecoense-sc holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chapecoense-sc

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Chapecoense-sc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarraD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Chapecoense-scBarra
83.3Attack29.6
50.0Defence22.2
50.0Form14.8
59.3Power25.6
2.85xG0.75
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