Chapecoense-scvsAtletico-MG

Chapecoense-sc are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.