Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chantilly · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chantilly are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Montlouis are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and chantilly hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National 2 - Group A, favouring Chantilly with 12.8% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chantilly
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
12.8%
Chantilly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80