Chanthaburivs
Nong Bua Pitchaya
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chanthaburi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chanthaburi 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
Original prediction
Chanthaburi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.1% | 36.5% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.4% | 28.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 30.5% | 34.7% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Chanthaburi
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Chanthaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80