Chanthaburivs
Nakhon Pathom
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chanthaburi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chanthaburi 0-0 Nakhon Pathom, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chanthaburi 3-0 Nakhon Pathom
Original prediction
Chanthaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.9% | 38.1% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.4% | 31.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.94 | 22.8% | 30.3% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Projected Score
Chanthaburi 0–0 Nakhon Pathom
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Chanthaburi
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Chanthaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60