Chanthaburivs
Kasetsart FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chanthaburi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chanthaburi 2-0 Kasetsart FC
Original prediction
Chanthaburi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 55.8% | 46.8% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 27.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.77 | 18.9% | 25.9% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Chanthaburi
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Chanthaburi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80