GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/18/2023, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Changwon City are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Yangpyeong are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Yangpyeong hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changwon CityL

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
YangpyeongDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Changwon CityYangpyeong
28.7Attack36.7
55.2Defence50.0
34.5Form41.1
41.9Power44.2
0.91xG0.91
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