GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siheung Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Changwon City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Siheung Citizen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Siheung Citizen hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the K3 League, while Siheung Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Siheung Citizen

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Siheung Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changwon CityLWDWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Siheung CitizenWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Changwon CitySiheung Citizen
28.7Attack44.0
55.2Defence56.0
34.5Form46.4
41.9Power51.2
0.79xG1.11
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