Changwon Cityvs
Pocheon
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 10/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pocheon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Changwon City 0-1 Pocheon, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Changwon City 1-3 Pocheon
Original prediction
Pocheon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 25.6% | 20.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 27.6% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.7% | 52.3% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Projected Score
Changwon City 0–1 Pocheon
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Pocheon
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Pocheon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Changwon CityWLLLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PocheonDWWLW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Changwon CityPocheon
37.7Attack55.1
59.4Defence72.5
42.0Form66.7
49.1Power65.9
0.63xG1.29