Changwon Cityvs
Gyeongju HNP
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 3/24/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Changwon City are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Gyeongju HNP are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju HNP hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50