Changwon Cityvs
Daejeon Korail
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 9/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daejeon Korail · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Changwon City 0-0 Daejeon Korail, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Changwon City 0-1 Daejeon Korail
Original prediction
Daejeon Korail
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.2% | 24.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.9% | 30.5% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.9% | 44.6% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Changwon City 0–0 Daejeon Korail
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Daejeon Korail
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Daejeon Korail has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40