Changwon Cityvs
Busan Transportation
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Changwon City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Busan Transportation are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Busan Transportation hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80